NFL Division underdogs: Atlanta Falcons: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 85 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 39-45-1 (46.4%)
Straight up: 27-58 (31.8%)
Over/under: 36-48-1 (42.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.59 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 17-27 (38.6%); 2013-2026: 22-18 (55.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2000 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 1999 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Atlanta Falcons?
39-45-1 against the spread (46.4%) in 85 team-games since 1999, 27-58 straight up and 36-48-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 17-27 (38.6%); 2013-2026: 22-18 (55.0%).