NFL Underdogs of 7+: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 88 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 43-41-4 (51.2%)
Straight up: 19-69 (21.6%)
Over/under: 46-39-3 (54.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.72 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2001-2013: 19-17 (52.8%); 2014-2026: 24-24 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-4-1 | 20.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Washington Commanders?
43-41-4 against the spread (51.2%) in 88 team-games since 1999, 19-69 straight up and 46-39-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2001-2013: 19-17 (52.8%); 2014-2026: 24-24 (50.0%).