NFL Underdogs of 7+: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 40 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 24-16 (60.0%)
Straight up: 11-29 (27.5%)
Over/under: 19-21 (47.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.38 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 6 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 14-10 (58.3%); 2013-2026: 10-6 (62.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2004 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the New Orleans Saints?
24-16 against the spread (60.0%) in 40 team-games since 1999, 11-29 straight up and 19-21 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 6 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 14-10 (58.3%); 2013-2026: 10-6 (62.5%).