NFL Underdogs of 7+: Miami Dolphins: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 79 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 39-37-3 (51.3%)
Straight up: 18-61 (22.8%)
Over/under: 39-39-1 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.46 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2013: 16-14 (53.3%); 2014-2026: 23-23 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: MIA vs DET
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2018 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Miami Dolphins?
39-37-3 against the spread (51.3%) in 79 team-games since 1999, 18-61 straight up and 39-39-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 16-14 (53.3%); 2014-2026: 23-23 (50.0%).