NFL Underdogs of 7+: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 53 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 31-22 (58.5%)
Straight up: 10-43 (18.9%)
Over/under: 23-28-2 (45.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.73 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2010: 20-13 (60.6%); 2011-2025: 11-9 (55.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2008 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2007 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2006 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Kansas City Chiefs?
31-22 against the spread (58.5%) in 53 team-games since 1999, 10-43 straight up and 23-28-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2010: 20-13 (60.6%); 2011-2025: 11-9 (55.0%).