NFL Underdogs of 7+: Indianapolis Colts: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 49 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 24-25 (49.0%)
Straight up: 10-39 (20.4%)
Over/under: 28-20-1 (58.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.86 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2001-2016: 13-17 (43.3%); 2017-2026: 11-8 (57.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2011 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Indianapolis Colts?
24-25 against the spread (49.0%) in 49 team-games since 1999, 10-39 straight up and 28-20-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2001-2016: 13-17 (43.3%); 2017-2026: 11-8 (57.9%).