NFL Underdogs of 7+: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 94 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 46-46-2 (50.0%)
Straight up: 16-77-1 (17.2%)
Over/under: 39-53-2 (42.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.05 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2002-2012: 24-22 (52.2%); 2013-2024: 22-24 (47.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2013 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2005 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2003 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2002 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Houston Texans?
46-46-2 against the spread (50.0%) in 94 team-games since 1999, 16-77-1 straight up and 39-53-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2002-2012: 24-22 (52.2%); 2013-2024: 22-24 (47.8%).