NFL Underdogs of 7+: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 103 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 55-45-3 (55.0%)
Straight up: 12-90-1 (11.8%)
Over/under: 52-49-2 (51.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.62 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2010: 37-26 (58.7%); 2011-2023: 18-19 (48.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 3-7-2 | 30.0% |
| 2008 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2003 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2002 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2001 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Detroit Lions?
55-45-3 against the spread (55.0%) in 103 team-games since 1999, 12-90-1 straight up and 52-49-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2010: 37-26 (58.7%); 2011-2023: 18-19 (48.6%).