NFL Underdogs of 7+: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 52 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 26-26 (50.0%)
Straight up: 12-40 (23.1%)
Over/under: 27-24-1 (52.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.1 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2011: 9-13 (40.9%); 2015-2024: 17-13 (56.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Denver Broncos?
26-26 against the spread (50.0%) in 52 team-games since 1999, 12-40 straight up and 27-24-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 9-13 (40.9%); 2015-2024: 17-13 (56.7%).