NFL Underdogs of 7+: Dallas Cowboys: ATS Record Since 1999

Getting a touchdown or more. 49 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 28-21 (57.1%)
Straight up: 15-33-1 (31.3%)
Over/under: 26-23 (53.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.51 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2010: 13-14 (48.1%); 2013-2025: 15-7 (68.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20252-0100.0%
20242-340.0%
20221-0100.0%
20211-0100.0%
20202-250.0%
20183-175.0%
20151-150.0%
20141-0100.0%
20132-0100.0%
20101-150.0%
20091-0100.0%
20080-10.0%
20070-10.0%
20042-250.0%
20031-0100.0%
20022-250.0%
20015-271.4%
20001-420.0%
19990-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Dallas Cowboys?

28-21 against the spread (57.1%) in 49 team-games since 1999, 15-33-1 straight up and 26-23 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2010: 13-14 (48.1%); 2013-2025: 15-7 (68.2%).

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