NFL Underdogs of 7+: Cincinnati Bengals: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 86 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 43-40-3 (51.8%)
Straight up: 19-66-1 (22.4%)
Over/under: 33-51-2 (39.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.9 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2010: 25-27 (48.1%); 2011-2025: 18-13 (58.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2019 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2007 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2000 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 2-6-1 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Cincinnati Bengals?
43-40-3 against the spread (51.8%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 19-66-1 straight up and 33-51-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2010: 25-27 (48.1%); 2011-2025: 18-13 (58.1%).