NFL Underdogs of 7+: Chicago Bears: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 87 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 42-43-2 (49.4%)
Straight up: 24-63 (27.6%)
Over/under: 36-51 (41.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.23 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2011: 21-19 (52.5%); 2013-2025: 21-24 (46.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2021 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2002 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 1999 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Chicago Bears?
42-43-2 against the spread (49.4%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 24-63 straight up and 36-51 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 21-19 (52.5%); 2013-2025: 21-24 (46.7%).