NFL Underdogs of 7+: Buffalo Bills: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting a touchdown or more. 64 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 31-31-2 (50.0%)
Straight up: 10-54 (15.6%)
Over/under: 29-35 (45.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -3.61 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2001-2009: 15-14 (51.7%); 2010-2019: 16-17 (48.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2014 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL underdogs of 7+ for the Buffalo Bills?
31-31-2 against the spread (50.0%) in 64 team-games since 1999, 10-54 straight up and 29-35 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2001-2009: 15-14 (51.7%); 2010-2019: 16-17 (48.5%).