NBA Third game in four nights: Washington Wizards: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 449 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 210-232-7 (47.5%)
Straight up: 168-281 (37.4%)
Over/under: 217-228-4 (48.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.28 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 112-136 (45.2%); 2018-2027: 98-96 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
20268-1830.8%
20258-1732.0%
202410-855.6%
202312-8-160.0%
202210-10-150.0%
202117-14-154.8%
202012-475.0%
201914-573.7%
20186-1135.3%
201712-1054.5%
201613-1448.1%
201511-1345.8%
201412-12-150.0%
201315-1060.0%
20129-18-133.3%
201111-1444.0%
20108-1732.0%
20097-1729.2%
200814-11-256.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Washington Wizards?

210-232-7 against the spread (47.5%) in 449 team-games since 2007-08, 168-281 straight up and 217-228-4 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 112-136 (45.2%); 2018-2027: 98-96 (50.5%).

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