NBA Third game in four nights: Toronto Raptors: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 464 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 227-226-11 (50.1%)
Straight up: 216-248 (46.6%)
Over/under: 235-227-2 (50.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.17 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 136-130 (51.1%); 2018-2026: 91-96 (48.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
202611-1345.8%
202512-957.1%
20248-1633.3%
20239-11-145.0%
202211-1444.0%
202111-1444.0%
20208-5-261.5%
20199-5-164.3%
201812-957.1%
201711-14-144.0%
201617-965.4%
201514-11-156.0%
201415-1060.0%
201313-1252.0%
201218-14-156.3%
201112-13-148.0%
201011-1739.3%
200911-14-244.0%
200814-16-146.7%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Toronto Raptors?

227-226-11 against the spread (50.1%) in 464 team-games since 2007-08, 216-248 straight up and 235-227-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 136-130 (51.1%); 2018-2026: 91-96 (48.7%).

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