NBA Third game in four nights: Sacramento Kings: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 451 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 217-226-8 (49.0%)
Straight up: 161-290 (35.7%)
Over/under: 228-215-8 (51.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.81 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 130-128 (50.4%); 2018-2026: 87-98 (47.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 9-14 | 39.1% |
| 2024 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2023 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2022 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2021 | 11-12-1 | 47.8% |
| 2020 | 7-10-1 | 41.2% |
| 2019 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2018 | 10-11-1 | 47.6% |
| 2017 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2016 | 16-13-1 | 55.2% |
| 2015 | 13-11-1 | 54.2% |
| 2014 | 16-6-1 | 72.7% |
| 2013 | 14-12-1 | 53.8% |
| 2012 | 10-19 | 34.5% |
| 2011 | 9-16 | 36.0% |
| 2010 | 13-10 | 56.5% |
| 2009 | 15-17 | 46.9% |
| 2008 | 10-12-1 | 45.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Sacramento Kings?
217-226-8 against the spread (49.0%) in 451 team-games since 2007-08, 161-290 straight up and 228-215-8 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 130-128 (50.4%); 2018-2026: 87-98 (47.0%).