NBA Third game in four nights: Phoenix Suns: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 443 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 217-219-7 (49.8%)
Straight up: 203-240 (45.8%)
Over/under: 233-205-5 (53.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.33 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 131-125 (51.2%); 2018-2026: 86-94 (47.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
202612-1348.0%
20258-15-234.8%
202411-857.9%
20239-1047.4%
202210-855.6%
202114-10-158.3%
20209-852.9%
20196-842.9%
20187-1433.3%
201715-768.2%
20169-1340.9%
201513-1350.0%
201419-870.4%
201311-15-142.3%
201218-1456.3%
20118-16-233.3%
201015-1451.7%
200911-14-144.0%
200812-1152.2%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Phoenix Suns?

217-219-7 against the spread (49.8%) in 443 team-games since 2007-08, 203-240 straight up and 233-205-5 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 131-125 (51.2%); 2018-2026: 86-94 (47.8%).

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