NBA Third game in four nights: New Orleans Pelicans: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 437 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 218-213-6 (50.6%)
Straight up: 183-254 (41.9%)
Over/under: 202-230-5 (46.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.2 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 123-129 (48.8%); 2018-2027: 95-84 (53.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
| 2025 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 5-11-1 | 31.3% |
| 2022 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2021 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2019 | 11-9 | 55.0% |
| 2018 | 14-7 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 7-13-1 | 35.0% |
| 2016 | 9-12-1 | 42.9% |
| 2015 | 16-10 | 61.5% |
| 2014 | 12-13-1 | 48.0% |
| 2013 | 12-13 | 48.0% |
| 2012 | 16-13 | 55.2% |
| 2011 | 12-14-1 | 46.2% |
| 2010 | 13-13 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 11-16 | 40.7% |
| 2008 | 15-12-1 | 55.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the New Orleans Pelicans?
218-213-6 against the spread (50.6%) in 437 team-games since 2007-08, 183-254 straight up and 202-230-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 123-129 (48.8%); 2018-2027: 95-84 (53.1%).