NBA Third game in four nights: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 432 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 202-225-5 (47.3%)
Straight up: 158-274 (36.6%)
Over/under: 221-207-4 (51.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.3 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 113-139 (44.8%); 2018-2027: 89-86 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20272-166.7%
202611-857.9%
202513-1056.5%
20246-1135.3%
202310-1245.5%
20229-852.9%
202113-9-259.1%
20206-10-137.5%
20198-947.1%
201811-857.9%
201710-9-152.6%
20168-1436.4%
201511-1640.7%
201413-1350.0%
201318-1456.3%
201211-1936.7%
201112-1348.0%
201010-1441.7%
20097-14-133.3%
200813-1350.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Minnesota Timberwolves?

202-225-5 against the spread (47.3%) in 432 team-games since 2007-08, 158-274 straight up and 221-207-4 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 113-139 (44.8%); 2018-2027: 89-86 (50.9%).

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