NBA Third game in four nights: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 450 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 223-221-6 (50.2%)
Straight up: 214-236 (47.6%)
Over/under: 229-217-4 (51.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.38 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 131-129 (50.4%); 2018-2027: 92-92 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 12-12 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 9-11-1 | 45.0% |
| 2024 | 6-12 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2022 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 12-12 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 13-5 | 72.2% |
| 2019 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2018 | 11-8-1 | 57.9% |
| 2017 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2016 | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| 2015 | 16-11-1 | 59.3% |
| 2014 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2013 | 5-15-1 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 12-16-1 | 42.9% |
| 2011 | 15-13 | 53.6% |
| 2010 | 17-9-1 | 65.4% |
| 2009 | 12-15 | 44.4% |
| 2008 | 12-16 | 42.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Milwaukee Bucks?
223-221-6 against the spread (50.2%) in 450 team-games since 2007-08, 214-236 straight up and 229-217-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 131-129 (50.4%); 2018-2027: 92-92 (50.0%).