NBA Third game in four nights: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 438 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 199-231-8 (46.3%)
Straight up: 228-210 (52.1%)
Over/under: 215-218-5 (49.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.02 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 111-140 (44.2%); 2018-2027: 88-91 (49.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 15-10 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 10-12 | 45.5% |
| 2024 | 8-11-1 | 42.1% |
| 2023 | 9-11-1 | 45.0% |
| 2022 | 13-9 | 59.1% |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2019 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2018 | 8-7-1 | 53.3% |
| 2017 | 14-11 | 56.0% |
| 2016 | 12-13 | 48.0% |
| 2015 | 9-13-2 | 40.9% |
| 2014 | 8-16-1 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 10-15 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 14-18 | 43.8% |
| 2011 | 12-12-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 12-12 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 7-15 | 31.8% |
| 2008 | 13-15-1 | 46.4% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Miami Heat?
199-231-8 against the spread (46.3%) in 438 team-games since 2007-08, 228-210 straight up and 215-218-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 111-140 (44.2%); 2018-2027: 88-91 (49.2%).