NBA Third game in four nights: Memphis Grizzlies: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 434 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 220-209-5 (51.3%)
Straight up: 218-216 (50.2%)
Over/under: 210-216-8 (49.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.13 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 127-120 (51.4%); 2018-2027: 93-89 (51.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-0100.0%
202610-1343.5%
202510-10-150.0%
20248-947.1%
20239-852.9%
20228-947.1%
202115-1550.0%
202011-664.7%
20199-1047.4%
201812-9-257.1%
201719-870.4%
201611-1052.4%
201512-1152.2%
201412-1250.0%
201313-1154.2%
201216-1945.7%
201117-7-170.8%
201010-1737.0%
20099-15-137.5%
20088-1044.4%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Memphis Grizzlies?

220-209-5 against the spread (51.3%) in 434 team-games since 2007-08, 218-216 straight up and 210-216-8 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.1%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 127-120 (51.4%); 2018-2027: 93-89 (51.1%).

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