NBA Third game in four nights: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 453 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 227-220-6 (50.8%)
Straight up: 227-226 (50.1%)
Over/under: 214-233-6 (47.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.65 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 134-129 (51.0%); 2018-2027: 93-91 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
202610-855.6%
202510-1050.0%
20248-1338.1%
20237-1531.8%
202211-8-157.9%
202114-1351.9%
20206-6-250.0%
201913-1056.5%
201813-765.0%
201711-1542.3%
201613-1252.0%
201512-11-152.2%
20149-1636.0%
201317-1063.0%
201219-1555.9%
201110-1638.5%
201020-9-169.0%
200913-1350.0%
200810-12-145.5%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Indiana Pacers?

227-220-6 against the spread (50.8%) in 453 team-games since 2007-08, 227-226 straight up and 214-233-6 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.0%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 134-129 (51.0%); 2018-2027: 93-91 (50.5%).

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