NBA Third game in four nights: Houston Rockets: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 440 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 207-226-7 (47.8%)
Straight up: 223-217 (50.7%)
Over/under: 230-205-5 (52.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.57 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 128-127 (50.2%); 2018-2027: 79-99 (44.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20273-0100.0%
20268-1436.4%
20259-1145.0%
202410-952.6%
20236-1528.6%
20229-10-147.4%
202110-1441.7%
20207-943.8%
20198-9-147.1%
20189-8-152.9%
201710-1343.5%
20169-1537.5%
201515-1255.6%
201412-14-146.2%
201313-1546.4%
201217-1454.8%
201113-11-154.2%
201012-1152.2%
200913-1154.2%
200814-11-256.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Houston Rockets?

207-226-7 against the spread (47.8%) in 440 team-games since 2007-08, 223-217 straight up and 230-205-5 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 128-127 (50.2%); 2018-2027: 79-99 (44.4%).

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