NBA Third game in four nights: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 455 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 217-230-8 (48.5%)
Straight up: 237-218 (52.1%)
Over/under: 216-235-4 (47.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.55 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 131-126 (51.0%); 2018-2027: 86-104 (45.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: GS vs PHX
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 7-15 | 31.8% |
| 2025 | 9-15 | 37.5% |
| 2024 | 13-13-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 40.9% |
| 2022 | 14-8-1 | 63.6% |
| 2021 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2020 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2019 | 8-12-1 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2017 | 9-16 | 36.0% |
| 2016 | 14-10-2 | 58.3% |
| 2015 | 10-15 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 10-11-1 | 47.6% |
| 2013 | 18-11-1 | 62.1% |
| 2012 | 19-13 | 59.4% |
| 2011 | 12-14 | 46.2% |
| 2010 | 13-9 | 59.1% |
| 2009 | 11-13 | 45.8% |
| 2008 | 15-14 | 51.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Golden State Warriors?
217-230-8 against the spread (48.5%) in 455 team-games since 2007-08, 237-218 straight up and 216-235-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 131-126 (51.0%); 2018-2027: 86-104 (45.3%).