NBA Third game in four nights: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 420 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 209-205-6 (50.5%)
Straight up: 223-197 (53.1%)
Over/under: 203-210-7 (49.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.36 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 116-121 (48.9%); 2018-2027: 93-84 (52.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 14-11 | 56.0% |
| 2025 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 13-6 | 68.4% |
| 2023 | 5-12 | 29.4% |
| 2022 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2021 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2020 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 8-9-2 | 47.1% |
| 2017 | 12-6-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2015 | 7-14-1 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2013 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2012 | 16-16 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 14-13 | 51.9% |
| 2010 | 11-13-1 | 45.8% |
| 2009 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
| 2008 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Dallas Mavericks?
209-205-6 against the spread (50.5%) in 420 team-games since 2007-08, 223-197 straight up and 203-210-7 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 116-121 (48.9%); 2018-2027: 93-84 (52.5%).