NBA Third game in four nights: Cleveland Cavaliers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
A compressed stretch. 432 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 196-227-9 (46.3%)
Straight up: 209-223 (48.4%)
Over/under: 203-225-4 (47.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.7 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 119-130 (47.8%); 2018-2027: 77-97 (44.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 7-15-1 | 31.8% |
| 2024 | 10-10-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2022 | 13-11-2 | 54.2% |
| 2021 | 10-16 | 38.5% |
| 2020 | 5-10-1 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2018 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2017 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
| 2016 | 12-11-1 | 52.2% |
| 2015 | 13-14 | 48.1% |
| 2014 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2013 | 11-16 | 40.7% |
| 2012 | 9-16-1 | 36.0% |
| 2011 | 12-11-1 | 52.2% |
| 2010 | 9-14 | 39.1% |
| 2009 | 18-6 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 11-16 | 40.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
196-227-9 against the spread (46.3%) in 432 team-games since 2007-08, 209-223 straight up and 203-225-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 119-130 (47.8%); 2018-2027: 77-97 (44.3%).