NBA Third game in four nights: Chicago Bulls: ATS Record Since 2007-08

A compressed stretch. 454 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 221-228-5 (49.2%)
Straight up: 223-231 (49.1%)
Over/under: 205-244-5 (45.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.49 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 129-126 (50.6%); 2018-2027: 92-102 (47.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20270-20.0%
20267-1433.3%
202510-855.6%
202412-1152.2%
202310-13-143.5%
202213-13-150.0%
202115-1353.6%
202010-758.8%
20199-950.0%
20186-12-133.3%
201712-1446.2%
201610-1441.7%
20159-1537.5%
201414-14-150.0%
201310-1343.5%
201219-967.9%
201115-1060.0%
201013-11-154.2%
200913-1154.2%
200814-1548.3%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA third game in four nights for the Chicago Bulls?

221-228-5 against the spread (49.2%) in 454 team-games since 2007-08, 223-231 straight up and 205-244-5 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 129-126 (50.6%); 2018-2027: 92-102 (47.4%).

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