NBA Lost the last meeting by 15+: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Revenge spots after a beating. 173 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 91-79-3 (53.5%)
Straight up: 93-80 (53.8%)
Over/under: 88-82-3 (51.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.95 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 54-46 (54.0%); 2018-2026: 37-33 (52.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2024 | 5-3-1 | 62.5% |
| 2023 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 9-9-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2015 | 11-6 | 64.7% |
| 2014 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2013 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2010 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2008 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA lost the last meeting by 15+ for the Denver Nuggets?
91-79-3 against the spread (53.5%) in 173 team-games since 2007-08, 93-80 straight up and 88-82-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 54-46 (54.0%); 2018-2026: 37-33 (52.9%).