NBA Lost the last meeting by 15+: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Revenge spots after a beating. 204 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 106-97-1 (52.2%)
Straight up: 89-115 (43.6%)
Over/under: 109-94-1 (53.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.28 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 50-46 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 56-51 (52.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2024 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2023 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2022 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2017 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2016 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2015 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2014 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 4-11 | 26.7% |
| 2012 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2011 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA lost the last meeting by 15+ for the Dallas Mavericks?
106-97-1 against the spread (52.2%) in 204 team-games since 2007-08, 89-115 straight up and 109-94-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 50-46 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 56-51 (52.3%).