NBA Playoff underdogs: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points in the postseason. 45 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 14-29-2 (32.6%)
Straight up: 12-33 (26.7%)
Over/under: 18-25-2 (41.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -5.28 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 49 times. 2009-2013: 5-11 (31.3%); 2014-2022: 9-18 (33.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2021 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA playoff underdogs for the Miami Heat?
14-29-2 against the spread (32.6%) in 45 team-games since 2007-08, 12-33 straight up and 18-25-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 49 times.
Did it hold up?
2009-2013: 5-11 (31.3%); 2014-2022: 9-18 (33.3%).