NBA Playoff underdogs: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points in the postseason. 38 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 17-21 (44.7%)
Straight up: 9-29 (23.7%)
Over/under: 23-15 (60.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.11 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2012: 10-10 (50.0%); 2013-2022: 7-11 (38.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2008 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA playoff underdogs for the Denver Nuggets?
17-21 against the spread (44.7%) in 38 team-games since 2007-08, 9-29 straight up and 23-15 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2012: 10-10 (50.0%); 2013-2022: 7-11 (38.9%).