NBA Playoff underdogs: Boston Celtics: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points in the postseason. 96 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 48-47-1 (50.5%)
Straight up: 35-61 (36.5%)
Over/under: 44-52 (45.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.94 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2015: 28-25 (52.8%); 2016-2022: 20-22 (47.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2017 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2011 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2010 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2009 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2008 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA playoff underdogs for the Boston Celtics?
48-47-1 against the spread (50.5%) in 96 team-games since 2007-08, 35-61 straight up and 44-52 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2015: 28-25 (52.8%); 2016-2022: 20-22 (47.6%).