NBA Off an upset loss: Utah Jazz: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Lost last game as a favorite. 250 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 124-121-5 (50.6%)
Straight up: 145-105 (58.0%)
Over/under: 121-124-5 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.16 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 66-55 (54.5%); 2018-2026: 58-66 (46.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20263-0100.0%
20250-10.0%
20244-266.7%
20237-1041.2%
202210-16-138.5%
20218-1142.1%
20206-12-233.3%
201914-7-166.7%
20186-746.2%
20174-1126.7%
201610-2-183.3%
20155-362.5%
20142-166.7%
20135-645.5%
20122-433.3%
20119-1047.4%
201010-566.7%
20099-564.3%
200810-855.6%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Utah Jazz?

124-121-5 against the spread (50.6%) in 250 team-games since 2007-08, 145-105 straight up and 121-124-5 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 66-55 (54.5%); 2018-2026: 58-66 (46.8%).

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