NBA Off an upset loss: Toronto Raptors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 267 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 135-128-4 (51.3%)
Straight up: 143-124 (53.6%)
Over/under: 140-123-4 (53.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.55 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 63-65 (49.2%); 2018-2027: 72-63 (53.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2024 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2021 | 11-6 | 64.7% |
| 2020 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2018 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2017 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2016 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2015 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 10-7-1 | 58.8% |
| 2013 | 2-7-1 | 22.2% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2010 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2008 | 9-8-1 | 52.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Toronto Raptors?
135-128-4 against the spread (51.3%) in 267 team-games since 2007-08, 143-124 straight up and 140-123-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 63-65 (49.2%); 2018-2027: 72-63 (53.3%).