NBA Off an upset loss: Portland Trail Blazers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 229 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 112-114-3 (49.6%)
Straight up: 124-105 (54.1%)
Over/under: 105-123-1 (46.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.11 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 72-60 (54.5%); 2018-2027: 40-54 (42.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 2-10 | 16.7% |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2019 | 3-7-1 | 30.0% |
| 2018 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% |
| 2017 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 6-9-1 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 11-6 | 64.7% |
| 2013 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 11-2 | 84.6% |
| 2011 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2010 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2008 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Portland Trail Blazers?
112-114-3 against the spread (49.6%) in 229 team-games since 2007-08, 124-105 straight up and 105-123-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 72-60 (54.5%); 2018-2027: 40-54 (42.6%).