NBA Off an upset loss: New Orleans Pelicans: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 228 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 114-110-4 (50.9%)
Straight up: 108-120 (47.4%)
Over/under: 116-110-2 (51.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.06 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 55-63 (46.6%); 2018-2026: 59-47 (55.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2024 | 11-7 | 61.1% |
| 2023 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2020 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2019 | 11-5 | 68.8% |
| 2018 | 4-6-1 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2016 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 2014 | 3-6-1 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2012 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2011 | 3-9-2 | 25.0% |
| 2010 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 7-11 | 38.9% |
| 2008 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the New Orleans Pelicans?
114-110-4 against the spread (50.9%) in 228 team-games since 2007-08, 108-120 straight up and 116-110-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 55-63 (46.6%); 2018-2026: 59-47 (55.7%).