NBA Off an upset loss: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 216 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 106-108-2 (49.5%)
Straight up: 111-105 (51.4%)
Over/under: 112-99-5 (53.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.95 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 42-44 (48.8%); 2018-2027: 64-64 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2024 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2023 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2018 | 6-7-1 | 46.2% |
| 2017 | 7-11 | 38.9% |
| 2016 | 4-6-1 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2013 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2012 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2011 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
106-108-2 against the spread (49.5%) in 216 team-games since 2007-08, 111-105 straight up and 112-99-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 42-44 (48.8%); 2018-2027: 64-64 (50.0%).