NBA Off an upset loss: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 274 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 141-129-3 (52.2%)
Straight up: 156-118 (56.9%)
Over/under: 138-134-1 (50.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.08 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 46-58 (44.2%); 2018-2027: 95-71 (57.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 5-10 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2024 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 9-1-2 | 90.0% |
| 2022 | 13-10 | 56.5% |
| 2021 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2020 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2019 | 16-5 | 76.2% |
| 2018 | 9-5-1 | 64.3% |
| 2017 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
| 2016 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2015 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2012 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2011 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Milwaukee Bucks?
141-129-3 against the spread (52.2%) in 274 team-games since 2007-08, 156-118 straight up and 138-134-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 46-58 (44.2%); 2018-2027: 95-71 (57.2%).