NBA Off an upset loss: Memphis Grizzlies: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 228 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 115-108-5 (51.6%)
Straight up: 119-109 (52.2%)
Over/under: 106-117-5 (47.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.31 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 62-56 (52.5%); 2018-2026: 53-52 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2024 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2020 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2019 | 4-9 | 30.8% |
| 2018 | 6-4-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| 2016 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 6-7-1 | 46.2% |
| 2014 | 6-4-1 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2012 | 3-7-1 | 30.0% |
| 2011 | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| 2010 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2009 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Memphis Grizzlies?
115-108-5 against the spread (51.6%) in 228 team-games since 2007-08, 119-109 straight up and 106-117-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 62-56 (52.5%); 2018-2026: 53-52 (50.5%).