NBA Off an upset loss: Los Angeles Lakers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 266 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 119-142-5 (45.6%)
Straight up: 153-113 (57.5%)
Over/under: 142-123-1 (53.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.44 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 56-74 (43.1%); 2018-2027: 63-68 (48.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 6-7-1 | 46.2% |
| 2024 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2023 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2022 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2021 | 5-10 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 11-10-1 | 52.4% |
| 2019 | 8-10-2 | 44.4% |
| 2018 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2013 | 4-12 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 2011 | 9-18 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2009 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Los Angeles Lakers?
119-142-5 against the spread (45.6%) in 266 team-games since 2007-08, 153-113 straight up and 142-123-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 56-74 (43.1%); 2018-2027: 63-68 (48.1%).