NBA Off an upset loss: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Lost last game as a favorite. 246 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 140-101-5 (58.1%)
Straight up: 146-100 (59.3%)
Over/under: 128-110-8 (53.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.33 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 27 times. 2008-2017: 65-60 (52.0%); 2018-2027: 75-41 (64.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20272-0100.0%
20262-528.6%
202511-568.8%
202412-570.6%
20238-280.0%
20229-8-152.9%
202110-471.4%
20208-657.1%
20198-4-166.7%
20185-271.4%
20177-653.8%
20168-850.0%
20154-930.8%
201411-10-152.4%
20137-750.0%
20128-657.1%
20116-554.5%
20104-357.1%
20094-4-150.0%
20086-2-175.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Indiana Pacers?

140-101-5 against the spread (58.1%) in 246 team-games since 2007-08, 146-100 straight up and 128-110-8 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 27 times.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 65-60 (52.0%); 2018-2027: 75-41 (64.7%).

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