NBA Off an upset loss: Houston Rockets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 280 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 142-136-2 (51.1%)
Straight up: 177-103 (63.2%)
Over/under: 126-150-4 (45.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.71 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 83-77 (51.9%); 2018-2027: 59-59 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 12-12 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2020 | 10-15 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 10-11-1 | 47.6% |
| 2018 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2017 | 12-6 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 7-14 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| 2014 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2013 | 6-12 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2011 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2010 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2009 | 13-3 | 81.3% |
| 2008 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Houston Rockets?
142-136-2 against the spread (51.1%) in 280 team-games since 2007-08, 177-103 straight up and 126-150-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 83-77 (51.9%); 2018-2027: 59-59 (50.0%).