NBA Off an upset loss: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 286 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 151-132-3 (53.4%)
Straight up: 188-98 (65.7%)
Over/under: 142-142-2 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.18 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 71-54 (56.8%); 2018-2027: 80-78 (50.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 10-6-1 | 62.5% |
| 2024 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2022 | 10-12 | 45.5% |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 13-13 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 13-10 | 56.5% |
| 2017 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 9-4-1 | 69.2% |
| 2015 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2011 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2010 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2008 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Golden State Warriors?
151-132-3 against the spread (53.4%) in 286 team-games since 2007-08, 188-98 straight up and 142-142-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 71-54 (56.8%); 2018-2027: 80-78 (50.6%).