NBA Off an upset loss: Detroit Pistons: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 204 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 103-100-1 (50.7%)
Straight up: 95-109 (46.6%)
Over/under: 97-104-3 (48.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.75 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 66-62 (51.6%); 2018-2026: 37-38 (49.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2025 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2024 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2018 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
| 2017 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2016 | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| 2015 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 5-11 | 31.3% |
| 2013 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 7-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2009 | 5-15 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 11-6 | 64.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Detroit Pistons?
103-100-1 against the spread (50.7%) in 204 team-games since 2007-08, 95-109 straight up and 97-104-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 66-62 (51.6%); 2018-2026: 37-38 (49.3%).