NBA Off an upset loss: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 271 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 143-121-7 (54.2%)
Straight up: 158-113 (58.3%)
Over/under: 143-126-2 (53.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.76 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 71-68 (51.1%); 2018-2026: 72-53 (57.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2025 | 6-4-1 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| 2023 | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| 2022 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2021 | 11-7 | 61.1% |
| 2020 | 11-5-1 | 68.8% |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2018 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2015 | 5-9-2 | 35.7% |
| 2014 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2013 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2011 | 9-5-1 | 64.3% |
| 2010 | 8-9-1 | 47.1% |
| 2009 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Dallas Mavericks?
143-121-7 against the spread (54.2%) in 271 team-games since 2007-08, 158-113 straight up and 143-126-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 71-68 (51.1%); 2018-2026: 72-53 (57.6%).