NBA Off an upset loss: Cleveland Cavaliers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 251 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 114-132-5 (46.3%)
Straight up: 149-102 (59.4%)
Over/under: 122-124-5 (49.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.07 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 68-67 (50.4%); 2018-2026: 46-65 (41.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2025 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
| 2024 | 6-7-2 | 46.2% |
| 2023 | 8-6-1 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 9-16-1 | 36.0% |
| 2017 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 11-11-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2014 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2013 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2010 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2009 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2008 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
114-132-5 against the spread (46.3%) in 251 team-games since 2007-08, 149-102 straight up and 122-124-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 68-67 (50.4%); 2018-2026: 46-65 (41.4%).