NBA Off an upset loss: Chicago Bulls: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 247 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 127-117-3 (52.0%)
Straight up: 136-111 (55.1%)
Over/under: 119-126-2 (48.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.37 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 83-70 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 44-47 (48.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 5-12 | 29.4% |
| 2025 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2023 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2022 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2020 | 7-3-1 | 70.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2016 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2014 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2013 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 13-4 | 76.5% |
| 2010 | 4-9 | 30.8% |
| 2009 | 8-4-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 5-10 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Chicago Bulls?
127-117-3 against the spread (52.0%) in 247 team-games since 2007-08, 136-111 straight up and 119-126-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 83-70 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 44-47 (48.4%).