NBA Off an upset loss: Charlotte Hornets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 161 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 78-83 (48.4%)
Straight up: 69-92 (42.9%)
Over/under: 67-92-2 (42.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.26 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 46-43 (51.7%); 2018-2027: 32-40 (44.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2025 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2022 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2021 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2017 | 7-12 | 36.8% |
| 2016 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2015 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2014 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2013 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2010 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2008 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Charlotte Hornets?
78-83 against the spread (48.4%) in 161 team-games since 2007-08, 69-92 straight up and 67-92-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 46-43 (51.7%); 2018-2027: 32-40 (44.4%).