NBA Off an upset loss: Atlanta Hawks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Lost last game as a favorite. 261 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 133-128 (51.0%)
Straight up: 138-123 (52.9%)
Over/under: 131-125-5 (51.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.84 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 80-76 (51.3%); 2018-2027: 53-52 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: ATL at IND
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2025 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2024 | 7-11 | 38.9% |
| 2023 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2022 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| 2016 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2015 | 13-4 | 76.5% |
| 2014 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2012 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2011 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2010 | 12-6 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off an upset loss for the Atlanta Hawks?
133-128 against the spread (51.0%) in 261 team-games since 2007-08, 138-123 straight up and 131-125-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 80-76 (51.3%); 2018-2027: 53-52 (50.5%).